Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 963.438571 1094.793006 1242.463039 1421.740675 1634.796704 1881.507069 2191.139254
2025-04-27 768.955929 939.909193 1150.982802 1434.706404 1812.255213 2306.395271 3017.509412
2025-05-04 670.465859 857.068521 1101.355556 1452.063363 1955.492685 2673.170294 3814.785795
2025-05-11 598.583374 792.652645 1058.848980 1462.105486 2078.941270 3025.704349 4673.417407
2025-05-18 556.567412 760.397503 1051.898742 1515.695907 2268.549249 3509.080890 5870.212244
2025-05-25 517.717864 726.339386 1035.562565 1549.092154 2428.021012 3973.495334 7175.209652
2025-06-01 479.751293 688.392395 1007.251385 1556.858716 2542.689741 4381.209780 8504.256191
2025-06-08 445.541363 652.047993 976.287976 1554.108704 2635.761246 4766.513387 9922.295349
2025-06-15 423.181325 631.649530 967.979637 1588.037717 2801.215528 5333.490016 11990.229638
2025-06-22 388.315256 587.726160 915.706081 1535.288145 2787.204456 5515.079211 13154.373244
2025-06-29 358.906407 550.226084 870.567267 1489.665342 2779.288522 5707.777949 14435.844273
2025-07-06 331.674931 514.194078 824.613808 1436.724789 2746.916709 5835.441986 15587.180581
2025-07-13 321.765283 507.449464 830.946214 1489.116610 2959.543069 6640.120661 19423.705259
2025-07-20 307.436978 491.942144 820.047432 1505.842194 3096.490698 7297.299114 23233.750335
2025-07-27 294.675563 478.046040 810.561168 1523.827571 3239.736666 8019.469491 27874.995813
2025-08-03 282.177285 463.586138 798.525936 1534.569588 3367.433661 8741.923036 33182.423931
2025-08-10 275.891333 459.937494 806.952772 1591.526448 3627.338773 9982.329804 42391.193076
2025-08-17 267.682749 452.013922 806.055300 1627.045412 3838.096979 11150.925356 52802.480055
2025-08-24 257.364293 439.302862 794.251533 1635.306715 3974.335106 12114.674714 63423.441351
2025-08-31 246.788191 425.349462 778.650031 1632.381393 4077.797349 13003.932010 75086.408513
2025-09-07 240.437593 419.179597 778.804788 1668.479620 4309.723761 14536.140689 95292.719079
2025-09-14 226.727370 397.582000 744.278704 1612.362985 4237.723638 14723.117973 103470.968009
2025-09-21 214.617841 378.516798 713.918512 1563.852834 4182.530817 14975.697699 113168.033755